Recent polls and fund raising filings show that 2013 Republican standard bearer is falling further and further behind
Brooklyn County Leader gives Lhota tepid support — Even Eaton’s kind words show that Lhota needs to do some bridge building and fence mending — AND, most important, Lhota needs to ride herd on his early supporters in Brooklyn if he wants any help from the rest
As reported in the New York Times on Thursday, “With five weeks until Election Day, the race for New York City mayor is shaping up to be a landslide, with Bill de Blasio holding a 50-point lead over his Republican opponent, Joseph J. Lhota, in a poll released on Thursday by Quinnipiac University. *** Mr. de Blasio, a Democrat, received the support of 71 percent of likely voters, compared with 21 percent for Mr. Lhota....” (See “De Blasio Has Enormous Lead Over Lhota, Poll Finds” by Thomas Kaplan, 10/3/13, NY Times [http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/04/nyregion/de-blasio-has-enormous-lead-over-lhota-poll-finds.html?_r=0]). The polling news was no better on Friday, where the heavy type lead in the Daily News said, “Democrat Bill de Blasio wallops Republican Joe Lhota by 49 points in a Friday New York Times/Siena poll on the race for mayor, leading overwhelmingly even on Lhota's signature campaign issues.” (See “Bill de Blasio Crushes Joe Lhota 68% - 19% In New NYT/Siena NY Mayor's Race Poll” by Celeste Katz, 10/4/13, Daily News/ DailyPolitics [http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2013/10/bill-de-blasio-crushes-joe-lhota-68-19-in-new-nytsiena-ny-mayors-race-poll]).
The word about Lhota’s fund raising is equally grim (See “Bill de Blasio leads Joe Lhota in voter polls and in voter contributions by a huge margin” by Anne Karni & Celeste Katz, 10/4/13, NY Daily News [http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election/de-blasio-leading-polls-article-1.1476978]). The sub-headline of that article says it all: “Mayoral candidates Bill de Blasio and Joe Lhota are in a heated race, but when all is said and done, de Blasio leads Lhota in both race polls and the money wars.” Democratic Candidate for Mayor Bill de Blasio isn’t just burying his GOP rival Joe Lhota in the polls, de Blaiso is trouncing Lhota in the money wars, too. According to the News report, finance records filed on Friday showed that between Sept. 17th and Sept. 30th , Bill De Blasio took in $635,000, while in the same two weeks Joe Lhota raised $280,000. That gives a total for de Blasio of about $1.6 million, compared to Lhota’s total of about $788,000.
Locally, things were looking a little bit better for the Republican and Conservative nominee for mayor. Newly re-elected County Chairman Craig Eaton at least made a formal announcement of support for Mr. Lhota ( See “Catsimatidis backer Eaton now in Lhota’s corner” by Paula Katinas, 10/2/13, Brooklyn Eagle [http://www.brooklyneagle.com/articles/catsimatidis-backer-eaton-now-lhota%E2%80%99s-corner-2013-10-03-144500]). In the middle of the Daily News report on the same event, which the News characterized merely as a “shout-out from the home GOP team in Brooklyn,” there was also this ominous caveat, “It will be interesting to see how the various party factions ultimately mobilize behind Lhota...” ( See “As Joe Lhota Courts Democrats, Brooklyn GOP Chief Rallies The Party Faithful” by Celeste Katz, 10/2/13, Daily News/ Daily Politics [http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2013/10/as-joe-lhota-courts-democrats-brooklyn-gop-chief-rallies-the-party-faithful]).
JUDGE FOR YOURSELF
A few days ago, Eaton’s remarks about Joe Lhota were cordial, but they were hardly an announcement of an all out “Charge of the Light Brigade” on behalf Joe Lhota by the Brooklyn GOP. Eaton, who was re-elected as County Chairman of the GOP at it’s county convention on Monday, rather than praising and extolling Lhota on Wednesday, was focused instead on the specter of a de Blasio in City Hall as Mayor. Here’s some of what Chairman Eaton had to say: “Republican voters chose Joe Lhota as our nominee, and I will do everything I can to elect Joe in November.” Eaton said that the election of Democratic mayoral candidate Bill de Blasio was something "too horrible to imagine ... would reverse all the progress we made during the 20 years of Giuliani and Bloomberg as our mayors ...[leading to] an epidemic of violent crime... [that would] discourage the new economic growth we need to bring jobs back to New York City." With that, the GOP Chairman expressed his hope that Republicans throughout Brooklyn would “join together, to make certain de Blasio does not become our next mayor."
Clearly there needs to be some bridge building and fence mending between Mr. Lhota and the Brooklyn GOP County leadership if he expects any sort of enthusiastic campaigning on his behalf. Needless to say, if there is any semblance of a continued insurgency by Lhota’s supporters in Marty Golden’s “Republicans for Change” crowd, especially in the form of any legal challenges to the results of last week’s GOP convention, Lhota and his campaign can kiss any organized effort or heavy lifting by most of the Eaton-supporting "Brooklyn Republicans" goodbye.