Released Internal Polling Data Indicates Hynes Can Win By Emphasizing that Ken Thompson Has a Connection to Clarence Norman
According to Carl Campanile reporting in the New York Post, “Veteran Brooklyn DA Charles “Joe” Hynes claims he’s found the magic ingredient to win his uphill battle for re-election: by linking opponent Ken Thompson to corrupt ex-Democratic boss Clarence Norman... [W]hen no party affiliation is mentioned, the survey shows Hynes leading Thompson, 41 percent to 37 percent, with 22 percent undecided. *** And “when voters are further informed that Thompson’s campaign is supported by Clarence Norman, a corrupt political boss who went to prison, Hynes takes a commanding lead, 44 percent to 29 percent, with 27 percent undecided,” said Paul Swibinski, of Vision Media Political, the Hynes campaign’s pollster...” (See “Hynes’ weapon: opponent’s ‘corruption ties’” by Carl Campanile, 10/13/13, NY Post [http://nypost.com/2013/10/13/hynes-weapon-opponents-corruption-ties/]).
Internal polls are often criticized because of modeling the poll and sampling the population so as to maximize the percentages of the contracting candidate. Nonetheless, numbers like those produced by the Hynes campaign show that if certain targeted groups turn out on election day up to the expectations of the Hynes’ Campaign’s pollsters and the campaign can effectively communicate on the issue of “corruption” associated with the Ken Thompson campaign, then DA Hynes can win re-election. It’s all encapsulated in the words of a high insider in the Hynes campaign quoted in the Post article, cited above as follows: “Hynes campaign director Chapin Fay [said], ‘This poll is good news. This is a path to victory. Corruption is a real issue’.”
Another thing that these numbers indicate is that, even if the Hynes campaign does not attain its goals in messaging or delivering its ideal voter population to the polls on Election Day, it is still likely to far outstrip the rest of the GOP-Conservative Party ticket in Brooklyn, both in its base like Bay Ridge and Marine Park, but also in almost all of the neighborhoods in the rest of Brooklyn as well.