FOR OVER A MONTH POLLS SHOW CONTEST FOR NYC MAYOR NOT COMPETITIVE
POLLING DATA SHOWS THAT EVEN A LOT OF REPUBLICANS DON’T LIKE LHOTA AND/OR WON'T VOTE FOR HIM
A NYT/Siena poll finds de Blasio is poised to win the race by a historically large margin, powered by optimism that he will bring about change and by overwhelming voter disapproval of the Republican Party ( See “De Blasio in Position to Win Mayor’s Race by Historic Margin, Poll Shows” by David W. Chen & Megan Thee-Brenan, 10/28/13, NY Times [http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/28/nyregion/de-blasio-in-position-to-win-mayors-race-by-historic-margin-poll-shows.html?smid=tw-share&_r=1&]). According to the Times report, “Mr. de Blasio, a Democrat who is currently the public advocate, leads his Republican opponent, Joseph J. Lhota, a former chairman of the Metropolitan Transportation Authority, by 45 points among likely voters.... That lead, which has remained remarkably consistent in multiple polls over the last six weeks, suggests that Mr. de Blasio could win the most sweeping victory in a mayor’s race since 1985, when Edward I. Koch was re-elected to a third term with a crushing 68-point margin of victory over his opponents.” Especially dispiriting from a Republican perspective is the detailed breakdown and analysis of the polling data that appeared in David W. Chen and Megan Thee-Brenan’s article.
Similar devastating information and analysis appeared in the NY Daily News (See “A Week Before NY Mayor Vote, Bill de Blasio Leads Joe Lhota By 45% Among Likely Voters: Poll” by Celeste Katz, 10/28/13, Daily News/Daily Politics [http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2013/10/a-week-before-ny-mayor-vote-bill-de-blasio-leads-joe-lhota-by-45-among-likely-]). Here it is, as succinctly stated as can be by Ms. Katz: “De Blasio scores the support of 68% of likely voters to Lhota's 23% -- barely changed from the 68%-19% split reported in a Siena survey three weeks ago. *** The new poll ran from Oct. 21 to 26, accounting for an Oct. 22 TV debate Lhota fans had cited as hope the GOP underdog might dig into the frontrunner's seemingly insurmountable lead.”
8 comments:
Thank God we didn't go with Catsimatidis!
Oh. Wait...
It looks like Golden and Cockrane backed the wrong Republican for Mayor!
Do yuh think...?
That is because they are losers...dont forget to add Kassar into that mix as well....remember he was a big Lhota supporter....
Because the other choices were so much better. Keep dreaming.
Give Lhota a bit of a pass - Marty, Kassar (will Jerry be mad that I put him second?) and Co. used Lhota during the primary as cover to get down to wage their wildly unsuccessful war for the Brooklyn GOP leadership and when he said no to Tiny Timmy, and saw that Golden couldn't deliver nearly close to what he promised, Lhota parted ways, leaving a void in the Brooklyn campaign. Is there any wonder why Ross Brady (a good guy) is running the operation in Brooklyn and not one of Marty's whiz kids (sarcasm)? Have you ever seen him running any borough wide campaign prior to this one? Lhota is a good guy caught up in a bad situation and was left without a chair (or a team) now that he stopped listening to the Golden tune after Primary Day.
we cant forget to add Glenn Nocera in th mix also as backing this Lhota debacle.
UPDATE: THE “SO THIS IS THE ‘DEMOCRATS FOR LHOTA’ ROLL-OUT ! ” EDITION
The sub-headline reads like this: “With less than a week to go before Election Day, "Democrats For Lhota" lives -- in a web ad, anyway.” And the rest of the text by Celeste Katz was somewhat more prosaic, “We reported in September that Republican nominee Lhota planned to create a Democratic supporters movement to pull crossover votes from far-and-away frontrunner Bill de Blasio -- and a month later that the campaign had not been able to find an A-lister to head it....”
(See “Joe Lhota Touts Democratic Support In Web Video Ahead Of Final NYC 2013 Debate” by Celeste Katz, 10/30/13, Daily News/Daily Politics [http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2013/10/joe-lhota-touts-democratic-support-in-web-video-ahead-of-final-nyc-2013-debate]). There just isn’t any way to spin this story – up or down.
Some time after Katz' first report, she did a followup and the “Brooklyn Independent GOP Fountainhead” had a somewhat different take about this particular epiphenomenon, that no big-name Democrats would step forward for Joe Lhota’s campaign (See my post on this blog “The Lhota Campaign — New Horizons in Disappointment — Daily News says there is Nobody who would be recognizable as a Democrat for Lhota” [ referring to “Democrats who pledged to back Lhota are no-shows as he trails de Blasio” by Celeste Katz, 10/13/13, Daily News/ Daily Politics (http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election/early-promises-support-dems-no-show-lhota-article-1.1483780#commentpostform)] all below at 10/15/13). When I first reported upon this, it was my opinion that Celeste Katz at long last had acknowledged that Lhota and his campaign had taken a poison pill at the moment it had taken the Conservative Party endorsement; and as a result, no Democrats would be coming over to Lhota.
Nothing has happened since October 15th to change my opinion one iota.
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