FOR OVER A MONTH POLLS SHOW CONTEST FOR NYC MAYOR NOT COMPETITIVE
POLLING DATA SHOWS THAT EVEN A LOT OF REPUBLICANS DON’T LIKE LHOTA AND/OR WON'T VOTE FOR HIM
A NYT/Siena poll finds de Blasio is poised to win the race by a historically large margin, powered by optimism that he will bring about change and by overwhelming voter disapproval of the Republican Party ( See “De Blasio in Position to Win Mayor’s Race by Historic Margin, Poll Shows” by David W. Chen & Megan Thee-Brenan, 10/28/13, NY Times [http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/28/nyregion/de-blasio-in-position-to-win-mayors-race-by-historic-margin-poll-shows.html?smid=tw-share&_r=1&]). According to the Times report, “Mr. de Blasio, a Democrat who is currently the public advocate, leads his Republican opponent, Joseph J. Lhota, a former chairman of the Metropolitan Transportation Authority, by 45 points among likely voters.... That lead, which has remained remarkably consistent in multiple polls over the last six weeks, suggests that Mr. de Blasio could win the most sweeping victory in a mayor’s race since 1985, when Edward I. Koch was re-elected to a third term with a crushing 68-point margin of victory over his opponents.” Especially dispiriting from a Republican perspective is the detailed breakdown and analysis of the polling data that appeared in David W. Chen and Megan Thee-Brenan’s article.
Similar devastating information and analysis appeared in the NY Daily News (See “A Week Before NY Mayor Vote, Bill de Blasio Leads Joe Lhota By 45% Among Likely Voters: Poll” by Celeste Katz, 10/28/13, Daily News/Daily Politics [http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/dailypolitics/2013/10/a-week-before-ny-mayor-vote-bill-de-blasio-leads-joe-lhota-by-45-among-likely-]). Here it is, as succinctly stated as can be by Ms. Katz: “De Blasio scores the support of 68% of likely voters to Lhota's 23% -- barely changed from the 68%-19% split reported in a Siena survey three weeks ago. *** The new poll ran from Oct. 21 to 26, accounting for an Oct. 22 TV debate Lhota fans had cited as hope the GOP underdog might dig into the frontrunner's seemingly insurmountable lead.”