Saturday, September 9, 2017

MY PREDICTIONS FOR THE CITY COUNCIL PRIMARY

I have a cold and I was trying to get some rest before going out to dinner with some family members tonight  ---  that was before I got three different John Quaglione robocalls  along with one or two for the other guys  running  ---  And then, I got  a marathon filibuster of a call from one of my regular followers (yes, maybe that should be my ONE regular follower) asking, pleading, begging, exhorting (and on and on without any offer of reward or compensation to me of any kind) that I do a feature post about the City Council primaries in Bay Ridge


Since there is only so much torture that a man of my age and in my condition can take,  I will succumb  ---  reluctantly.....



FOR THE REPUBLICANS
The envelope,  please !!!

Oh,  I guess everybody knew this before I did  ---  the winner will be  >>>  LIAM MC CABE <<<  in a squeeker over both John Quaglione and Bob Capano,  who will be still fighting it out at the wire for second and third, even after the polls have closed.  As for Lucretia Regina-Potter,  although she will not be that close to the front-runners,  she will get enough of a vote in her pockets of strength to show whomever comes in second and/or third that making an early deal with Lucretia and Arnaldo would have been a wiser strategy than trying to shut them out and, more important, shut them down.

Why Liam will come in for the win at the finish ???   Whenever the new kid in the race shows that he can be a credible candidate  ---  that is a very big advantage.  Plus,  his argument that all the others have run before and failed miserably is quite compelling.

Why not Quaglione,  he's so much better than he was ???   John ran a very good campaign;  if both he and Liam were newcomers,  I'd even give the edge to John.  However,  first impressions are lasting,   and JQ's bad performance running for the same office in 2013 won't be overlooked by most of the folks this time around.

Doesn't the same argument apply for Bob Capano ???   To a certain extent it does,  but 2009 is a very long time ago,  and  who even remembers that Bob also ran unsuccessfully for the NYS Assembly ???   Bob raised less cash than two of his intra-party opponents, and most of the Democrats as well. That's not great for somebody who lists John Catsimatidis,  Curtis Sliwa and Craig Eaton among his strongest supporters.....  On the other hand,  Bob and his team have waged a long uphill fight largely based on great media presentation and an appeal to the Donald Trump base inside the Brooklyn GOP in Southwest Brooklyn.  It's possible that Bob & Co, might have found the winning formula for the 2017  race for CIty Council  ---   however, I do believe that is unlikely.

Lastly,  let's look at Lucretia.....   I think it was a strategic blunder for her to have appeared in three (not just two) different places on the GOP Primary ballot  throughout the center portion of the 43rd Council District.  In those overlapping areas in the 43rd Council District,  Lucretia Regina-Potter is running to become Republican State Committee Person (again),  Judicial Delegate (again) and Republican candidate for the NY City Council.  Her latest robocall invites certain voters to "fill in the circle" next to her name up to three times wherever it might appear on the Republican Primary Ballot. I think that message is too much of a heavy lift for most voters.  Nonetheless, I do predict that Lucretia will receive a significant vote on the line for City Council  ---  possibly even enough to exceed the winners "margin" of victory over the number two vote-getter,  possibly even number two and number three.....

AND FOR THE DEMOCRATS

(Yawn !!!)

I said before that I think that Justin Brannan has the edge in this race to succeed his boss,  Vinny Gentile  ---  and that should be enough to enable Justin to hold on and win against all comers, foreign and domestic.

Even though "The Reverend" Khader Al-Yateem has definitely won this year's contest for gargantuan picture posters displayed between Senator and 73rd Streets on Fifth Avenue,  remember that the adage "posters don't vote" applies equally to gargantuan sized posters of Palestinian-born clerics running throughout Bay Ridge, Dyker Heights,  Bath Beach and lower Bensonhurst.




41 comments:

Anonymous said...

I agree. Liam takes it.

Anonymous said...

McCabe has the most sophisticated campaign, and, yes he is the fresh face. Not a pretty face but still fresh.

Anonymous said...

posters dont vote but leftist do

Galewyn Massey said...

RESPONSE: THE "...NOT A PRETTY FACE..." EDITION

TO: "ANONYMOUS SAID... AT 7:28 PM"

SAYING THAT MC CABE DOESN'T HAVE A "PRETTY FACE" WAS GRATUITOUS AND I CONSIDERED REMOVING THE COMMENT COMPLETELY --- I THOUGHT THAT WE HAD AGREED THAT HE HAD "RUGGED GOOD LOOKS"

You know, the same kind of good looks as Chuck Connors.

BTW, I've done a little research on it; and I now believe that Liam McCabe is more likely to be related to Chuck Connors than anybody else that I know.

Anonymous said...

Capano- 31
Liam- 28
Q- 27
LRP- 14

Anonymous said...

What do people mean when they say, 'posters don't vote'?

Anonymous said...

If it's Brannan and McCabe, who wins that?

Anonymous said...

to 9:11 above I think McCabe wins. Khaders disciples will be angry just like Bernies people were. And when you hear 19% of Bernie voters went for Trump remember those are the ones who fessed up. The real number of Bernie voters who went for Trump was probably 39%.

Only an overgrown moron like capano would line up with Trump. Is Bob working on the Sandusky endorsement. He polls higher than Trump in Brooklyn. Yes Bob this is Brooklyn.

Anonymous said...

Reality check. Trump is a republican. If Bay Ridge hates trump than the rest of the ticket goes down.

Anonymous said...

To 6;47 do you mean bob gains 31 pounds by tuesday?

I'm not sure anyone would notice.

Anonymous said...

To be fair, the following individuals are also pretty husky:

1) Galewyn
2) Lucretia Regina Potter
3) Liam McCabe
4) John Quaglione

This isn't multiple choice. They're all fat...

Galewyn Massey said...

RESPONSE: THE "HATEFUL SPEECH" EDITION

TO: "ANONYMOUS SAID AT... 11:26 AM"

THE ONLY REASON I HAVEN'T "MODERATED" YOUR COMMENT OUT OF EXISTENCE IS THAT I CHOOSE TO USE IT AS PART OF A TEACHABLE MOMENT ON "HATE SPEECH" AND "FAT SHAMING"

>>> AND DON'T TRY TO WEASEL OUT BY SAYING: "IT'S JUST A JOKE"; OR "IT'S SATIRICAL HUMOR"

There is no justification for the comment above. It is hateful and hyper-aggressive --- and it's not funny.

Some might see what was posted above and refer to it as a micro-aggression --- however, there isn't anything "MICRO" about it; it is extremely hateful and hurtful to everybody mentioned.

It also fits into a specific category known as "fat shaming" --- and there is nothing humorous about that, and how it is used to demean and diminish people.

Worst of all, it specifically lumps Liam McCabe into a group of people who aren't ruggedly handsome in the way that he is.

Anonymous said...

In all fairness. The dems arent much to look at.

Anonymous said...

Does justin have any clue that he's going to be trounced?

Anonymous said...

Republican voters who to support President Trump need to show that by voting for Capano, who is the only Republican Candidate openly aligning himself with Trump.

Anonymous said...

Funny how Bob says he only lost once. He won't count assembly race. Does losing a primary count bob?

Anonymous said...

Once, twice, who's counting? Besides you only have to win once, then everything that went before doesn't mean anything to anybody.

Anonymous said...

That is true.

Anonymous said...

"It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood; who strives valiantly; who errs, who comes short again and again, because there is no effort without error and shortcoming; but who does actually strive to do the deeds; who knows great enthusiasms, the great devotions; who spends himself in a worthy cause; who at the best knows in the end the triumph of high achievement, and who at the worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who neither know victory nor defeat."

Galewyn Massey said...

RESPONSE: THE "TR QUOTE IS APT --- BUT NOT ABOUT SOME OF THE COMMENTS & COMMENTERS HERE" EDITION

TO WHOM IT MIGHT CONCERN

To the extent that the TR quote about "critics" above might have been directed at some of the commenters above on this comments thread --- I know for a fact that >>> many of those comment makers have "... actually [been] in the arena..." and their faces have been "... marred by dust and sweat and blood..." and they have strived valiently; and come-up short again and again.....

In fact, one very active commenter, whose comments are almost universally snarky, is a candidate on tomorrow's primary ballot; and a competitive candidate at that, who has been actively campaigning with a strong media driven campaign, along with some campaign mail and robocalls.

Several other >>> Primary Election Candidates <<< have posted comments on this blog recently, as well.

Readers of this blog should know that this blog has a pretty small readership; and that >>> almost everybody commenting here is either directly participating in these primaries as a candidate, or as a close supporter of (a) candidate(s).....

AND BTW, I DO INCLUDE MYSELF IN THE LATTER GROUPING.....

Anonymous said...

And now the end is near my fate uncertain,
I did what I had to do . . .

Anonymous said...

TR & Sinatra.

It's the smell. That gasoline smell. It smells like . . victory.

Ya know some day this primary is going to end.

Anonymous said...

"Hoot": See you're thinking. Don't. 'Cause Sergeant, you can't control who gets hit or who doesn't or who falls out of a chopper or why. It ain't up to you. It's just war.

Anonymous said...

Col. Jessup: You want answers?

Kaffee: I think I'm entitled to.

Col. Jessep: You want answers?

Kaffee: I WANT THE TRUTH!

Col. Jessup: YOU CAN'T HANDLE THE TRUTH!

[pauses]

Col. Jessup: Son, we live in a world that has walls, and those walls have to be guarded by men with guns. Who's gonna do it? You? You, Lt. Weinberg? I have a greater responsibility than you could possibly fathom. You weep for Santiago and you curse the Marines. You have that luxury. You have the luxury of not knowing what I know; that Santiago's death, while tragic, probably saved lives. And my existence, while grotesque and incomprehensible to you, *saves lives*. You don't want the truth because deep down in places you don't talk about at parties, you want me on that wall. You need me on that wall. We use words like honor, code, loyalty. We use these words as the backbone of a life spent defending something. You use them as a punchline. I have neither the time nor the inclination to explain myself to a man who rises and sleeps under the blanket of the very freedom that I provide, and then questions the manner in which I provide it! I would rather you just said "thank you" and went on your way, Otherwise, I suggest you pick up a weapon and stand a post. Either way, I don't give a *damn* what you think you are entitled to!

Anonymous said...

"This is my rifle. There are many others like it, but this one is mine. My rifle is my best friend. It is my life. I must master it as I must master my life. Without me, my rifle is useless. Without my rifle, I am useless. I must fire my rifle true. I must shoot straighter than my enemy, who is trying to kill me. I must shoot him before he shoots me. I will. Before God I swear this creed: my rifle and myself are defenders of my country, we are the masters of our enemy, we are the saviors of my life. So be it, until there is no enemy, but peace. Amen." -- Private Joker, Full Metal Jacket

Anonymous said...

Pogue Colonel: Marine, what is that button on your body armor?

Private Joker: A peace symbol, sir.

Pogue Colonel: Where'd you get it?

Private Joker: I don't remember, sir.

Pogue Colonel: What is that you've got written on your helmet?

Private Joker: "Born to Kill", sir.

Pogue Colonel: You write "Born to Kill" on your helmet and you wear a peace button. What's that supposed to be, some kind of sick joke?

Private Joker: No, sir.

Pogue Colonel: You'd better get your head and your ass wired together, or I will take a giant shit on you.

Private Joker: Yes, sir.

Pogue Colonel: Now answer my question or you'll be standing tall before the man.

Private Joker: I think I was trying to suggest something about the duality of man, sir.

Pogue Colonel: The what?

Private Joker: The duality of man. The Jungian thing, sir.

Pogue Colonel: Whose side are you on, son?

Private Joker: Our side, sir.

Pogue Colonel: Don't you love your country?

Private Joker: Yes, sir.

Pogue Colonel: Then how about getting with the program? Why don't you jump on the team and come on in for the big win?

Private Joker: Yes, sir.

Pogue Colonel: Son, all I've ever asked of my marines is that they obey my orders as they would the word of God. We are here to help the Vietnamese, because inside every gook there is an American trying to get out. It's a hardball world, son. We've gotta keep our heads until this peace craze blows over.

Private Joker: Aye-aye, sir.

Anonymous said...

Anybody see the puppet on 3rd Avenue?

Anonymous said...

I live in Bay ridge and am a republcian and have not got anything in the mail from liam today, saturday, or friday. .got stuff from quaglione and capano..
What gives? Not good mail planning.

Galewyn Massey said...

RESPONSE: THE "OMG, THE SCHIZOID MOVIE-QUOTERS HAVE TURNED THE TABLES ON ME" EDITION

TO ALL MY READERS.....

I WAS GOING TO GIVE EVERYBODY THIS WARNING: "I BRING YOU A WARNING. EVERYONE OF YOU [READING THESE WORDS], TELL THE WORLD, TELL THIS TO EVERYBODY WHEREVER THEY ARE. WATCH THE SKIES. EVERYWHERE. KEEP LOOKING. KEEP WATCHING THE SKIES...."

BUT THEN I READ THE COMMENTS ABOVE AND REALIZED THAT IT WAS TOO LATE --- "THEY'RE HERE ALREADY !!! YOU'RE NEXT !!! YOU'RE NEXT !!! YOU'RE NEXT...."

Anonymous said...

Soylent Green is people.

Anonymous said...

Is it safe?

Anonymous said...

No, I don't think I will kiss you, although you need kissing, badly. That's what's wrong with you. You should be kissed and often, and by someone who knows how.

Anonymous said...

Is it safe?

Anonymous said...

Zell?

Anonymous said...

All's quiet in Bay Ridgistan this morning.

Godspeed Bob Capano!

Anonymous said...

I don't think so. I just got a robocall from Bob Capano saying that his opponents are "playing dirty" by telling voters that Capano has quit the race. Then he went on to say that was a false report and that he is still running to win.

This confirms something that I had heard a few days ago that John Quaglione was denying that he was behind any dirty trick of saying Capano was out of the race.

Anonymous said...

The shame here is that this Council race will destroy some long-time friendships.

Liam and Q travelled in the same circles for years and shared the friendship of the many of the same people. This race has pitted them and their friends against each other. Just look at the posts and responses on FB. People who have been friends of Q for years are now saying nasty things to him on FB so you know they will never be friends again.

This is all because Golden and Kassar believe they believe they are so powerful yet they couldnt get one of them out of the race. They are probably happy with all the unrest and infighting. They seem to get off on that.

What a true sham.


Anonymous said...

Some people just don't grasp the concept of choice and freedom in elections.

They don't understand that someone has a right to run for office, even when the odds are against him, when his personality and energy level are at odds with what is required to run an effective campaign, when his message is lacking and his rationale for running is vague.

So they look for other people to blame, and demand that somebody ought to have prevented the contest from occurring in the first place.

I'm glad I don't live in that America.

If a friendship is real and true, it will survive.

Galewyn Massey said...


RESPONSE: THE "THANK YOU FOR OPENING THE DOOR, FOLKS" EDITION

TO: "ANONYMOUS SAID... AT 7:52 AM" & "... AT 8:52 AM"

DID YOU FOLKS REALLY PUT "FRIENDSHIP" IN YOUR COMMENTS THIS MORNING


"If you're ever in a jam, here I am.
If you're ever in a mess, S.O.S.
If you're so happy, you land in jail. I'm your bail.
It's friendship, friendship, just a perfect blendship.
When other friendships are soon forgot, ours will still be hot.
Da da da da da da dig dig dig.

If you're ever down a well, ring my bell.
If you're ever up a tree, just phone to me.
If you ever loose your teeth when you're out to dine, borrow mine.
It's friendship, friendship, just a perfect blendship.
When other friendships are out of date, ours will still be great.
Loddle doddle chuck chuck chaa.

If they ever black you're eyes, put me wise.
If they ever cook your goose, turn me loose.
And if they ever put a bullet through your brain, Ill complain.
It's friendship, friendship, just a perfect blendship.
When other friendships are soon forgit, ours will still be it.
Ah loddle doddle hip hap hap.

If you ever loose your mind, I'll be kind.
And if you ever loose your shirt, I'll be hurt.
If you're ever in a mill and get sawed in half, I won't laugh.
It's friendship, friendship, just a perfect blendship.
When other friendships are are up the crick, ours will still be slick.
Ah loddle doddle woof woof woof, hep hep hep, chopp chop chop, dig dig dig...."
-- Cole Porter

AT LAST, AT LAST !!! BACK TO SHOW TUNES !!!



Anonymous said...

And that's that...

Anonymous said...

This buds for you Liam!