Saturday, November 5, 2016

Cutting through all the spin about the polls --- Trump is close, but Hillary is still ahead.....

Trump has some "MO..." ---  But Hillary is still in her groove ---  AND ---   HRC has the easier and wider path to an Electoral College victory


Several states are now called "toss-ups" and or "near toss-ups"  ---  BUT ---  Trump has to win almost all of them to win the big enchilada, and Hillary only needs a few 


In two days, Trump has lost about half a point in the RCP Average of polls (.5%) --- and ---  the RCP average now stands at Clinton - 45.0%  & Trump 42.7%, with Johnson - 4.8% & Stein - 2.1% ....  (and 5.4% ???)


The prospective electoral vote count based on RCP's state by state polling averages shows Hillary Clinton with 216 likely electoral votes; Trump with 164 electors headed toward his column; and 158 electors being chosen in what are called the "toss-up" states.....




My nationwide information is from this RCP site: [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html#!].

My electoral vote count  info is from this RCP site: [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html].

23 comments:

Anonymous said...

If the momentum continues at the same pace for Trump over next 2 days than . . .

Anonymous said...

Let me make it simple so nobody loses any sleep on Tuesday.

If Trump wins Ohio, Florida and NC, he can win. If he loses one of the 3, then, Iowa & Hew Hampshire won't matter.

Galewyn Massey said...

UPDATE: THE “ ‘OFF-THE-BOOKS’ HAITIAN SCAM THAT THE CLINTON FOUNDATION ACKNOWLEDED ONLY AFTER FIVE YEARS” EDITION

TOO BAD IT’S SO LATE IN THE CAMPAIGN --- NEW EYE-OPENING FACTS EMERGE FROM PODESTA E-MAILS ABOUT CLINTON FOUNDATION-SUPPORTED HAITI SCAM

A WIKILEAKS-RELEASED PODESTA E-MAIL EXPOSES UNDERCOVER HAITI OPERATION THAT WASN’T ACKNOWLEDGED BY THE CLINTON FOUNDATION FOR FIVE YEARS. --- THEN THE FOUNDATION’S TAXES WERE QUIETLY AMENDED TO COVER THE CLINTONS’ EXPOSED REAR

WATCHDOG GROUP CALLS FOR INVESTIGATION TO ACCOUNT FOR MILLIONS OF MISSING DOLLARS OF HAITIAN RELIEF AND/OR DEVELOPMENT FUNDS

It was an item that appeared on-line from the NY Post yesterday that said: “The inner workings of a mysterious off-the-books arm of the Clinton Foundation were partially revealed in the hacked emails of Hillary Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta…. The little-known Haiti Development Fund, an LLC incorporated in Delaware in August 2010, was created by the Clinton Foundation with an initial endowment of $20 million from shady Canadian mining mogul Frank Giustra and Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim…. The Fund was supposed to supply desperately needed seed money to Haitian entrepreneurs after an earthquake devastated the country in January 2010…. But The Post found only one project that it funded with a fraction of the start-up cash….” ( See “The Clinton Foundation’s $20 million off-the-books mystery’” by Isabel Vincent, 11/5/16,[http://nypost.com/2016/11/05/the-clinton-foundations-off-the-books-20-million-mystery/]).

The Post report then specifically noted that --- “…. Since the Fund is incorporated as a private entity and not a non-profit, it is not subject to the same disclosure rules as a public charity…. And the Clinton Foundation never disclosed the Fund as a “related entity” on its tax filings as required by IRS rules. It was only after the Clinton Foundation, under mounting scrutiny and media pressure, “voluntarily” decided to refile five years’ worth of tax returns in 2015 that the Fund appears on the forms….”

A SHADY CHARACTER IS DELEGATED TO FRONT FOR THIS CLINTON FOUNDATION-RELATED ENTITY

The Haiti Development Fund, LLC, had been managed by one Jean Marc Villain, who reportedly was going through a bankruptcy in 2010, while he was working for the Clinton Foundation. The Clinton Foundation paid him $100,000 annually to be in charge of the Haiti Development Fund, according to pay records that were released with the Podesta emails…. In a related matter, the Florida Elections Commission had found that Mr. Villain also had violated Florida Law in 2001 when he did not file donation reports for something called the “Haitian-American Political Caucus,” a political committee for whom he was listed as the treasurer.

Quoting Ken Boehm, chairman of the National Legal and Policy Center a Virginia-based watchdog group, the NY Post article says that --- “ ‘This cries out for an audit or an investigation…. Its director was in bankruptcy and there’s almost nothing in the public record showing what happened to the millions of dollars it supposedly was going to use to help poor Haitians.’ ”

The Post coverage ends with this: “Villain left the Clinton Foundation in 2013 and now works for a hospital in South Carolina, according to his LinkedIn page. He could not be reached for comment…” and “The Clinton Foundation did not return repeated requests for comment.”

Anonymous said...

20 million dollars misplaced?

That happens to people all the time.

Anonymous said...

Now that Comey says the FBI isn't looking into emails anymore, maybe he can look at all this Clinton Foundation stuff

Anonymous said...

Comey is Hillarys homey

Anonymous said...

Is Ted Ghorra the new chair?

Anonymous said...

Arnaldo got lost in translation

Anonymous said...

The Golden & Ghorra regime is back into the OLD swing of things. There's an all day Election Day event at the Bay Ridge Manor with food for Election Day "volunteers."
One of the things that Golden didn't like about Eaton was that he balked at using Golden's BR Manor for most Brooklyn GOP events.

Anonymous said...

The Bay Ridge Manor is the Marty Golden version of the Clinton Foundation. It's all about the skim when it comes to Marty.

Anonymous said...

It's so cute that both John Quaglione and Liam McCabe were allowed to do robocalls for different election day events at the Bay Ridge Manor.

Anonymous said...

The Bay Ridge Manor has changed its name to the Golden Foundation.

Anonymous said...

I would love to be a fly on the wall as quaglione and mccabe both begged for permission to send out their robo calls

Galewyn Massey said...

RESPONSE: THE "THIS LOOKS 'OFFICIAL' " EDITION

TO; WHOM IT MIGHT CONCERN

Much more important than those robo-calls was the article in Kings County Politics announcing that Liam McCabe has become a Republican (See "McCabe Officially Becomes A Republican" by N/A [probably from a McCabe release], 11/7/16, Kings County Politics
[http://www.kingscountypolitics.com/mccabe-officially-becomes-republican/]).

It's clear from the text of this piece that Mr. McCabe is a Golden-Ghorra Republican.

Anonymous said...

A Trump win.

I called it a year ago.

Galewyn Massey said...

RESPONSE: THE "MAYBE YOU DID --- BUT I DON'T KNOW WHO YOU ARE" EDITION

TO: "ANONYMOUS SAID... AT 10:47 PM"

I guess that says it all.....

BTW, I've been amazed by this Trump phenomenon from the get-go --- I've been re-amazed by the good, the bad and the ugly of this campaign over and over again. But, I wouldn't have been able to predict very much of it --- and I never tried to.....

Galewyn Massey said...

UPDATE: THE "I'M MAKING THIS ANNOUNCEMENT AS AN UPDATE COMMENT" EDITION


***THE ASSOCIATED PRESS JUST ANNOUNCED THAT DONALD TRUMP HAS WON THE PRESIDENCY***

I guess that means somebody in the mainstream media thinks that Trump won the election --- DON'T THAT BEAT ALL !!!!!

Anonymous said...

Trump got 19% of the vote in Brooklyn

Anonymous said...

Was the Conservative Party candidate for Assembly in the 46th AD, Mikhail Usher, lawfully registered anywhere in the 46th Assembly District? It's certainly not at the address appearing on his BOE registration

Anonymous said...

The Brooklyn Eagle has Ghorra and company in control.

Has Arnaldo been deported?

Galewyn Massey said...

UPDATE: THE "CUTTING THROUGH ALL THE SPIN --- TRUMP WON" EDITION

The national popular vote is almost tied with Hillary Clinton ahead by .002 (2/10 of 1%).... However, Donald Trump has a substantial lead in Electoral Votes, with the most likely final total of Electoral Votes being: Trump -- 306; and Clinton 232.

Anonymous said...

The Rev Moons Unification Church provided location today for Hillarys farewell speech.

Anonymous said...

Get ready for Councilman Peter Abate