Cuomo's favorability edge over Nixon looks like it is less than half of his lead in the straight-up gubernatorial primary polling --- and over 40% of the Democrats' "likely voters" that have been polled say that they haven't decided who they are voting for yet.....
Who knows who is coming out to vote on primary day ?
Will motivated, self-identified women's issue voters come out to vote for Andrew Cuomo instead of Cynthia Nixon ???
Isn't there a solid >>> base <<< of Democratic voters in New York State that just don't like anything about Andrew Cuomo ?????
With less than a month to go, Cuomo's "lead" largely appears to be the result of an "inevitability factor" --- which is often a myth concocted by the incumbent's team.
It's both a blessing and a curse, but with less than a month left to make her mark, people still don't know very much about Cynthia Nixon.
In spite of all that, in this off year election in this "Age of Trump" --- the country appears to be trending left and activist women appear to be very motivated in most areas of the country due to the whole President Trump thing.
Cynthia Nixon is clearly to the left of Andy Cuomo and she is a woman. On the other hand, if you have listened to or read about Andy Boy lately, he sounds like he is running against Trump for President already.
Predictably, the polls should narrow as we get closer to any election, even if it's a primary election. However, will that just be a normal dynamic in the inevitable Cuomo win, or will it be the signal of a trend that will sweep Cynthia Nixon one step closer to the Governor's Mansion ?
At least one sage old Dem that I know says that he is now sure that Cynthia Nixon will win. But he also adds this caveat, "But, I've been wrong before."