Monday, July 17, 2017

Series of surprises in GOP Council filings for the 43rd Council District

Liam McCabe leads the pack filing a very strong number of signatures at or near Two Thousand (2000)*;

A little off the pace was the early 2017 favorite Bob Capano, with about Thirteen Hundred (1300)* signatures;

In the running as the biggest surprise at this stage of campaigning for the City Council in the 43rd District is Lucretia Regina-Potter,  whose Nine Hundred to a Thousand signatures (900-1000)* showed tremendous strength inside the hallmark districts of the Fiorello LaGuardia Republican Club,  the 46th A.D. and the 49th A.D., which form the core of the 43rd Council District;  and

Definitely,  taking the cake as the biggest surprise among the various campaigns' efforts to garner signatures was the Quaglione Campaign,  which came in last among the GOP Councilmatic signature gathering operations,  with a paltry Eight Hundred Fifty (850)*  signatures.....



It is fair to describe and analyze all of this as follows:

Liam McCabe and his campaign over-performed again;   this is about the sixth or seventh very well done activity by a campaign that was at the beginning made up from scratch;

In a race where one has to be  "...  in it to WIN IT..." it sure looks like Lucretia Regina-Potter --- is on the ballot all the way through until the GOP September primary;

Bob Capano did what he needed to do by filing a nominating petition that has enough heft that he almost tripled the signature requirement required under the Election  Law;  however

When it comes to a colossal underperformance in the very significant campaign metric  ---  signature gathering  ---  John Quaglione's  team  showed that they are all smoke and mirrors.  What happened to all of the much-heralded Marty Golden signature gatherers ???

________________________

All of the above numbers are approximations of what the four (4) GOP candidates filed as their petitions with the New York City Board of Elections  ---  the source of those "approximations" is a very senior GOP operative that said they conversed with analysts who did real counts.....  The report was as to >>> quantity <<< only.   There was specifically NOT ANY OPINION as to the >>> quality <<< of most of the signatures,  either as submitted or as analyzed.






40 comments:

Anonymous said...

So the race has changed. Now Quag is the third candidate.

Anonymous said...

On the Democrat side El Yateem filed more signatures than Brannen.

Anonymous said...

So, it now looks like a fourway race in the GOP primary, right?

Anonymous said...

A Republican fourway, now that's kinkeeeee!

Anonymous said...

Did anyone see Liams mailer that hit today that will cause him big fines from cfb and negative press for breaking finance laws?? The name of his committee is friends of Liam..
His mailer says "Paid for by Liam McCabe"..i think the fine is $100 per piece that was mailed ..i hear a complaint has already been filed..

Anonymous said...

Holy canoli !!

A complaint has been filed and Liam will soon be impeached.

Anonymous said...

Actually, CFB rules state that if the name of the campaign committee does not contain the first and last name of the candidate, the disclaimer should read Paid for by First & Last Name of Candidate.

Anonymous said...

425 am below is right from campaign finance handbook. Looks like liam committed big violation. Nothing about the BS above about first, last name nonsense.

If Obrien did this mailer looks like he got his revenge on Liam for hiring other "consultants" ..he had to include this disclaimer and know was wrong. .kudos.


“Paid For By” Requirement--
All campaign literature, advertisements, or other
communications must include the words “paid for by” followed
by the name of your authorized committee (For example, “Paid
for by Sophia for Council”). If your campaign authorizes any
individual or entity other than your campaign to pay for any
of these things (including communications in support of or
opposition to any other candidate), the communication must
include the words “authorized by” followed by the name of
your authorized committee and this must be reported as an in-
kind contribution to your campaign.

Anonymous said...

New York City Campaign Finance Board

http://cfb.org/law/rules/rule-2-13-identification-communications/

Rule 2-13 Identification of Communications.

(a) When a candidate makes expenditures for any literature, advertisement, or other communication, the communication must include the words “paid for by” followed by the first and last name of the candidate or the name of the candidate’s authorized committee,

or, if the candidate has more than one authorized committee, the candidate’s principal committee; provided that, if the name of the committee does not include the first and/or last name of the candidate, then the words “paid for by” must be followed by the first and last name of the candidate, either instead of or in addition to the name of the committee.

Anonymous said...

This shows the need for an experienced candidate, staff and resources who wont make mistakes like this.
Only John Q has these!!

Galewyn Massey said...

RESPONSE: THE "GRASPING AT STRAWS" EDITION

TO: "ANONYMOUS SAID... AT 8:16 AM & OTHERS"

BUT --- THESE "STRAWS" ARE ALL THAT JOHN Q. REPUBLICAN HAS GOING FOR HIM RIGHT NOW


John Quaglione is a desperate candidate right now. He is more likely to come in LAST in a four way primary contest than he is to come in FIRST; and that's a big problem. In fact, he might be the first candidate to be marginalized in this race.

Golden & Co., Inc., and we do know who they are, can't abide a win by Bob Capano --- period, but they can pretty much live with Liam McCabe..... Those folks are more likely to shift away from Quags sooner rather than later. I've already heard some buzz.....

Stay tuned; I think this will get very interesting very fast.

Anonymous said...

Judging by the quality (not to mention the paltry quantity) of the signatures Quaglione filed ... he's not an experienced candidate, and his staff and their resources leave much to be desired.

Anonymous said...

While Q sits at his computer looking for campaign violations and checking weather dot com to see when it will get cooler GOP voters are answering the door to see big handsome Liam.

Tell Q the weather will be better after September 12th.

Anonymous said...

12:27 Sounds like a Liberace fan

Anonymous said...

Don't forget, Liberace did play the piano very well, and it wasn't just show tunes.

Anonymous said...

Once prime republicans who are the law and order type, learn of Liams arrests and see the news headlines, it wont matter how handsome he may or may not be..these voters will go with the only adult in the room and the one with the highest name ID from his race just 4 years ago!!

Anonymous said...

oh boy

Anonymous said...

Once prime republicans who are pro-life types hear about Quaglione using his political contacts to prevent his cousin from being prosecuted for the dead baby girl she tossed in the trash, these voters will go with the adult in the race, Liam McCabe.

Anonymous said...

305pm good luck with that. Lol

Anonymous said...

oh boy

Galewyn Massey said...

BACKFILL: THE "INDEX OF NON-SUPPORT" EDITION

JOHN QUAGLIONE AND HIS CAMPAIGN FOR CITY COUNCIL HAS MADE HIS NON-SUPPORT BY REPUBLICANS A MATTER OF PUBLIC RECORD WITH THE PETITION FILED WITH THE BOARD OF ELECTIONS

ALL OF QUAG'S OPPONENTS CAN ARGUE THAT HE HAS NEXT TO NO SUPPORT BY ANY REPUBLICAN VOTERS


Not only did the election petition filed by John Quaglione contain a dearth of legitimate Republican signatures [yes, people ARE checking very closely on that], they were largely gathered by only a handful of signatory witnesses. Technically, what was submitted on behalf of John Q. Republican is a very weak >>> REPUBLICAN <<< petition, indeed.

More important than that, should JQ remain on the GOP primary ballot, an issue that is right out there, front and center, is this: JOHN QUAGLIONE AND HIS ENTIRE PETITIONING CAMPAIGN MANIFESTS A VERY LOW LEVEL OF SUPPORT AMONG REPUBLICANS; and that argument can be broadened and built upon by all three of his opponents.

A close look at JQ's signature gatherers reveals a core composed of Marty Golden staff skells, from hither and yon.

Like I said above, if Johnny Cakes stays on the ballot, a lot will be made about his half-baked, half-hearted petitioning effort and what it graphically demonstrated about his real GOP support inside the Council District and inside that part of the Brooklyn GOP inside the Council District where he has lived his whole life.



Anonymous said...

John Q is a much stronger candidate than mcCabe and Capano combined and that will be shown on Sept. 12th

Anonymous said...

Wouldn't it be funny if Lucretia's challenge ends up invalidating Q's pathetic petition?

Anonymous said...

Gale
Tell the truth about capano

Little petitions support
No professional campaign people
No money for mailings
No organization

Q will triple his vote total

Anonymous said...

I hear Qs valid petiton signatures are down to 502

Anonymous said...

Oh yeah, dont forget the Capano kiss of death--- Eaton is supporting him !!

Galewyn Massey said...

RESPONSE: THE "GLIMMER OF TRUTH" EDITION

TO THE (FIVE) COMMENTER(S) ABOVE THIS ONE

THE CHOP BLOCKS BEING DELIVERED AT BOB CAPANO AND HIS CAMPAIGN ARE INDICATIVE OF A VERY INSECURE BUNCH OF FOLKS IN THE QUAGLIONE CAMP (BTW, HAVE THEY COUNTED NOSES LATELY --- I HEAR THAT THEY ARE DISAPPEARING FASTER THAN IN AGATHA CHRISTIE'S "AND THEN THERE WERE NONE" A/K/A "TEN LITTLE...." [A VERY UN-PC TITLE])

"ANONYMOUS SAID... AT 10:30 AM" ALMOST HIT THE PROVERBIAL NAIL ON ITS HEAD

When push comes to shove, Lucretia Regina-Potter is likely to have the final say as to whether Johnny Q. gets to run in 2017 or not.

Quaglione's number of signatures is low and my sources have told me that their quality is not the best. Based on only one (1) other petition there are already several "SAPs" that the "Q"ster will be losing.

It looks like a very, very close thing whether "Q" gets on the GOP Primary ballot, even under the best of circumstances.

Anonymous said...

I received a very interesting mailer that spoke about Liam taking an oath as a staffer?
I did not know that part-time per-diem probational congressional staffers took "oaths" when they accepted their jobs! Meanwhile, the formidable John Quaglione is tan, rested and ready to win this race!

Anonymous said...

All Congressional staffers must take an oath. Don't you guys know anything about politics, other than what you post online?

And formidable is a term only used to describe Mr. Quaglione's powers of sleep.

Anonymous said...

I hear one of Lucretia's people found something verrrrrry interesting in Quaglione's petition.

Anonymous said...

Q is king .all will find out soon

Anonymous said...

Q does not stand for King.

Get it?

Anonymous said...

Putting his staffer John Quaglione out front as his candidate for City Council in the heart of his district was a huge blunder for State Senator Marty Golden.
Who advised him on this risky political gambit?
It was a terrible "risk-reward" decision; and it shows that Marty has very poor political instincts of his own.
Thanks to the Quaglione petitioning effort, now everybody knows that the Golden-Ghorra side is very thinly stretched.
Plus, how many County Committee did they file signatures for?

Anonymous said...

The only oath he ever took was at AA

Anonymous said...

I heard Quaglione got 100 county committee signatures and 750 bullet signatures, essentially stiffing the district leaders. Not a smart move.

Anonymous said...

Q was not part of any deal as much as McCabe tries to pretend he was to try and make a name for himself...

Anonymous said...

Q was not part of any deal, except that he's The Senator's endorsed candidate, and the County Organization tossed out all the debate ground rules when Q's team arrived unprepared, without posters, flyers or buttons.

Rules are made for little people, not Q.

Anonymous said...

McCabe & Capano are fat losers and will be put out of there misery very soon

Anonymous said...

with Lucretia in the race staten island bob coming in third wont look so bad

Anonymous said...

Poll shows Quaglione wins third place