Wednesday, June 3, 2015

National Polling News No Better for Hillary Clinton and her campaign than Iowa polls — CNN & ABC Polls show Hillary’s prospects in decline


“PANTSUIT ON FIRE – 57% in new poll say Hill[ary]’s a liar   —   “ALL DOWN HILL – Clinton’s huge plummet in poll....”                                                   —   NY POST HEADLINES, 6-3-15

“Hillary Clinton has a numbers problem....”                                                              —   In Politico article, 6-2-15

Big jump in “unfavorability” along with a drop in “favorability” is another “not good” piece of news for a maybe somewhat less “inevitable” Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton

Other news outlets jump on CCN’s and ABC’s numbers to sing Cassandra’s greatest hits to Hillary and the Clinton Campaign for President in 2016


CNN’s top polling person, Jennifer Agiesta, says that “More people have an unfavorable view of Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton now than at any time since 2001, according to a new CNN/ORC poll on the 2016 race. ***  While Clinton remains strikingly dominant in the Democratic field, the poll shows that her numbers have dropped significantly across several key indicators since she launched her campaign in April....” (See “Poll: New speed bumps for Clinton” by Jennifer Agiesta, 6/2/15, CNN/ Polling Director
[http://www.cnn.com/2015/06/02/politics/hillary-clinton-2016-poll-gop-field-close/index.html]).

The bad news in polling for Hillary and the rest of the Clinton folks was not limited to the results from the CNN-ORC poll.

BAD NEWS NOT JUST FROM CNN  —   ABC’S POLLING SHOWS THE SAME NEGATIVE TRENDS FOR CLINTON

According to a report from ABC News about in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, “....  Clinton faces challenges. She’s slipped underwater in personal favorability for the first time since her unsuccessful run for the presidency in 2008. She’s deeper in the hole for honesty and trustworthiness – down 5 points in just two months and 12 points in the last year. And Americans by 17- to 24-point margins disapprove of her handling of recent questions on her use of personal e-mail while secretary of state, her handling of the Benghazi attack in Libya and fundraising by her family’s foundation. (See “Poll: Hillary Clinton Weakens on Trustworthiness While Jeb Bush Slides Into GOP Free-For-All” by Gary Langer, 6/2/15, ABC News [http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/poll-hillary-clinton-weakens-trustworthiness-jeb-bush-slides/story?id=31454068]).

The ABC blog article went on to add this really devastating comment: “[Even though Jeb] Bush has lost ground in the contest for the GOP nomination, Clinton does less well against him in a head-to-head matchup. The gap between them has closed from 12 points to three – 47-44 percent, Clinton-Bush, among registered voters, vs. 53-41 percent two months ago....   [T]he questions facing Clinton – particularly regarding Benghazi and her foundation’s fundraising – are more apt than a hypothetical Iraq do-over to be seen as legitimate issues in the 2016 campaign. Her decline vs. Bush among registered voters, from 53 percent in March to 47 percent now, is a significant one....”

FOX NEWS AND THE NEW YORK POST, AND BREITBART WERE QUICK TO TRUMPET THE NEWS OF THE DROPPING POLLS   —   BUT SO DID “USA TODAY” –  POLITICO  – The WAPO   –  AND MANY OTHERS

News outlets like Fox News and the New York Post jumped all over these polling results. Just take a look at the NY Posts front page and inside page headlines about the story quoted above in my sub-headlines to this post (See “Hillary’s huge plummet in new poll” by Marisa Schultz, 6/3/15, NY Post [http://nypost.com/2015/06/03/majority-of-voters-think-hillary-clinton-is-a-liar/][The same article appeared in the NY Post’s print editions un the titles mentioned in my sub-healines above]).

My favorite coverage was in a stalwart blog on the right, Breitbart News, which said this: “Support for Democratic presidential candidate and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is tanking, as more and more independents along with people from her own party are finding Clinton to be untrustworthy, according to both a CNN/ORC poll and Washington Post–ABC News poll....   The CNN/ORC survey finds more people view Clinton unfavorably than at any point since 2001....   ‘While Clinton remains strikingly dominant in the Democratic field, the poll shows that her numbers have dropped significantly across several key indicators since she launched her campaign in April,’ the news network reports....”  (See “POLL: HILLARY CLINTON PLUNGING WITH INDEPENDENTS IN POLLS” by Alex Swover, 6/2/15, Breitbart News
[http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/06/02/poll-hillary-clinton-plunging-with-independents-in-polls/]).

In addition, Alex Swover, Breitbart’s reporter on the story noted that “....   Clinton’s falling support cited in the CNN/ORC poll is echoed in a new Washington Post-ABC News poll....  The Washington Post reported Clinton’s ‘personal attributes continue to erode in the wake of stories abut fundraising practices at the Clinton Foundation and her use of a personal e-mail server while at the State Department.’...  According to the Washington Post-ABC News poll, Clinton’s favorability rating is the lowest it’s been since she ran for president the first time in 2008....  ‘Today, 41 percent of Americans say she is honest and trustworthy, compared with 52 percent who say she is not – a 22-point swing in the past year,’ noted the Post.”

However there was similar coverage across the spectrum of the mainstream media, such as in USA Today (See “Polls reflect troubles for Clinton and Bush” by David Jackson, 6/2/15, USA Today [http://onpolitics.usatoday.com/2015/06/02/polls-reflect-troubles-for-clinton-and-bush/])  — or the Washington Post ( See “Front-runner angst: Bush lead evaporates, Clinton favorability hits 7-year low” by By Dan Balz & Peyton M. Craighill, 6/2/15 [http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-2016-republicans-tightly-bunched-clintons-image-erodes/2015/06/01/9e9c26c6-0893-11e5-9e39-0db921c47b93_story.html])  —   or   Politico (See “Hillary Clinton's poll numbers signal trouble ahead – Yes, it’s early, but few expected her to fall so far so fast” by Annie Karni & Gabriel Debenedetti, 6/2/15, Politico [http://www.politico.com/story/2015/06/hillary-clintons-poll-numbers-signal-trouble-ahead-118567.html]).

12 comments:

Anonymous said...

File appropriately:

This just in.

Steve Maresca was seen lurking outside Brooklyn YR Petition Class on May 28th in Sheepshead Bay. Sources say that he was wearing an overcoat, sunglasses and Indiana Jones- type hat...

Anonymous said...

get a life

Anonymous said...

says the person caught stalking gene and russ...

Galewyn Massey said...

[EXPLETIVE DELETED] QUERY: THE "SPY VS. SPY" EDITION

YOU CAN'T HAVE JUST MADE THIS UP -- SO. MAYBE, IT'S TRUE....

I have three very relevant questions: What's the point ? Who benefits ? AND "Indiana Jones-type hat" -- am I supposed to be jealous ?

Anonymous said...

I have three very relevant questions about this blog: What's the point? Who benefits? AND Where did you get that hat??

Anonymous said...

I have three very relevant answers: 1. There is no point. 2. Never tell all you know. 3...

Galewyn Massey said...

RESPONSE: THE "OUCH ! ! !" EDITION

I GUESS I WALKED RIGHT INTO ALL OF THOSE...

That's the last time that I try to stay neutral and still be provocative....

Err...hmmm... Well, maybe not....

Galewyn Massey said...

BTW: THE "LET'S FINISH THE PAPERWORK" EDITION

IS THERE ANYBODY OUT THERE THAT CAN EITHER "CONFIRM OR DENY" THE ORIGINAL STORY ABOUT STEVE MARESCA BEING OUTSIDE GENE'S TUTORIAL DOING HIS BEST IMITATION OF BOBBY VALENTINE

An old wag, to whom I occasionally talk, asked me an even simpler and more relevant question than any of the ones mentioned above, "How do you know it's true ?"

"Hmmm !" I thought --- "That's a very good point."

Anonymous said...

I heard it straight from the horse's mouth. And the ox too.

Galewyn Massey said...

RESPONSE: THE "... OF COURSE, OF COURSE..." EDITION

HMMMM ! ?

And what is your name, Wihhhillll-burrr ?

Galewyn Massey said...

UPDATE: THE “HILLARY CLINTON CAMPAIGN RESPONDS TO IT’S BAD POLLING NUMBERS” EDITION

PUSH-BACK BY CLINTON TEAM AGAINST A PAIR OF POLLS THAT GENERATED SO “...MUCH OF THE HAND-WRINGING”

ACCORDING TO AN UN-NAMED CLINTON CAMPAIGN SPOKESPERSON, ALL OF WHAT HAS GONE BEFORE WAS IN PREPARATION FOR HILLARY CLINTON’S RELAUNCH EVENT SCHEDULED FOR NEXT WEEK


A report in the Business Insider says that an un-named spokesperson for the Hillary Clinton Campaign pointed out there have been several surveys in addition to the two, which came from CNN/ORC and The Washington Post and ABC News and showed that Hillary Clinton's popularity is down, with about 50% of voters saying they have an unfavorable impression of her....” (See “This is what Hillary Clinton's campaign is saying about her poll numbers” by Hunter Walker, 6/4/15, Business Insider [http://www.businessinsider.com/what-hillarys-campaign-says-about-her-poll-numbers-2015-6] [According to the reporter for The Business Insider, the interviewee remained anonymous in order to discuss polling and strategy]).

Hunter Walker’s report also noted this: “.... Clinton's campaign believes there is one number that shows she has weathered the recent scrutiny.... The Des Moines Register poll, which surveyed Democratic voters in Iowa's influential early primary, contained a specific data point that the spokesperson said her team sees as evidence Clinton wasn't badly hurt by the recent controversies and scrutiny. That poll showed at least 70% of Democratic primary voters in Iowa are not bothered by the questions about Clinton's emails or foundation. According to the spokesperson, the campaign believes that proves various controversies that have emerged around Clinton won't factor into the Iowa caucus — and potentially other states' primaries....”

And this is how Hunter Walker-Business Insider piece concluded: “Still, in spite of these arguments, there's no denying Clinton's favorability numbers have declined in recent polls.... The [Clinton Campaign] spokesperson suggested this was a natural part of Clinton's transition from being secretary of state to becoming a more apolitical figure, and then reentering the political fray. They said the American public is skeptical of the government and politicians. As a result, they argued anyone who made themselves an official 2016 candidate would have issues with trustworthiness and would not be able to avoid some decline in their numbers.... In the end, though they said Clinton's team is satisfied with where she is sitting in relation to her rivals, the spokesperson forecast the number of people who say they trust her to confront the issues they care about will improve. They identified this question as the key one her campaign is designed to answer and predicted it will begin to do so as Clinton unveils more specific policies following her relaunch event next week.”

Galewyn Massey said...

UPDATE & BACKFILL: THE “BENGHAZI ISSUE MOST RELEVANT IN THE POLLING ABOUT HILLARY CLINTON” EDITION

WAPO POLL SHOWS THAT 55% OF VOTERS OVERALL THINK THAT BENGHAZI SHOULD BE A 2016 CAMPAIGN ISSUE WHEN IT COMES TO LOOKING AT HILLARY AS A POTENTIAL POTUS — AND EVEN 51% OF DEMOCRATS AGREE THAT IT IS A LEGITIMATE ISSUE FOR 2016

Yesterday, a columnist in the Washington Post pointed out that “.... [i]n a Washington Post/ABC News poll released Tuesday, 55 percent [of voters] say how [Hillary Clinton] handled Benghazi is a legitimate issue for the 2016 campaign. Most interestingly, it's far from a partisan issue; that number includes 51 percent of Democrats and half of independents....” (See “51 percent of Democrats say Benghazi is a legitimate issue for Hillary Clinton” by Amber Phillips, 6/4/15, Washington Post/ The Fix [http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2015/06/04/51-percent-of-democrats-say-benghazi-is-a-legitimate-issue-for-hillary-clinton/]). Even though most American voters don’t know much about the ongoing congressional investigation into the Benghazi attacks that happened while Hillary Rodham Clinton was the U.S. Secretary of State, more than any other problem Hillary Clinton has faced to date, “... the 2012 attack on U.S. diplomatic compounds in Libya that killed four Americans, including [A]mbassador J. Chris Stevens, is seen as fair game for 2016....”

According to Amber Phillips, now doing columns for the Washington Post, “... [t]he Benghazi attack ranks slightly higher as a legitimate issue for voters than other, more recent negative headlines for Clinton: The Clinton Foundation's fundraising from foreign governments ([received] 53 percent) and her use of personal e-mail while she was head of the State Department ([received] 48 percent)....”