Current daily tracking polls show race even
by Galewyn Massey
It is being reported that the raw data accumulated by pollsters prior to various statistical adjustments and modeling done by the various polling organizations shows that the actual responders to the pollsters would consistently favor Republican Candidate Mitt Romney over President Barack Obama by huge margins well beyond the margin of error if they applied the same adjustments and modeling based upon the Reagan-Carter election instead of the Obama-McCain race. In fact, Mitt Romney’s margins of victory using the Reagan-Carter model would be far greater than the leads now being attributed by pollsters to Obama using the Obama-McCain model.
According to a 9-24-12 post at the World Net Daily by NYTimes best-selling author, Jerome Corsi, “most of the major polls reported by establishment media are ‘skewed’ in favor of the Democratic Party and incumbent Barack Obama.” He continues, by citing the work of UnskewedPoll.com, which indicates that “... a true gauge of the presidential race, based on more realistic models, shows Republican challenger Mitt Romney leading by an average of nearly eight points.”
Meanwhile, the daily tracking polls show the Obama-Romney race as virtually even and/or very close and within the margin of error.
The latest Rasmussen Reports tracking poll has President Obama ahead by only 1% in the polling that was released earlier today, Tuesday, September 25, 2012. Barack Obama was at 47% compared to 46% for Mitt Romney. Third party candidates were noted at 3%, combined, while undecided voters were put at 4%. When so-called "leaners" are included in the Rasmussen numbers, it results in a statistical tie with both Barack Obama and Mitt Romney shown at 47% (after October 1st, Rasmussen automatically will include the "leaners" as part of its everyday polling total).
Yesterday, the Gallup poll numbers remained unchanged for the second consecutive day, with President Obama at 48% compared to 46% for Mitt Romney (within the margin of error). In that poll, third party candidates and undecided voters combined were at 6% nationwide. The Gallup poll was released yesterday afternoon, Monday, September 24, 2012.
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